What is the Biden Tax Plan Calculator?
During the 2020 presidential campaign, Joe Biden put forward a set of federal-tax proposals aimed squarely at high earners: a higher top income-tax rate, an extra Social Security payroll tax on the biggest paychecks, ordinary-income treatment of large capital gains, and a bigger, fully refundable Child Tax Credit. This calculator estimates how a US household's federal tax would have changed under that proposal, compared against the 2021 current-law baseline.
It is a historical policy comparison tool, not a return preparer. Enter your filing status, ordinary income, Social-Security-taxable wages, long-term capital gains and the number of children in two age bands, and the tool shows the income tax each scenario produces, the extra payroll and capital-gains tax the proposal would add, the Child Tax Credit change, and the net difference. For your actual current-year bill, use the Federal Income Tax Calculator instead.
Did any of this become law?
Mostly no. The 39.6% top rate, the Social Security "donut hole" payroll tax and the 43.4% capital-gains rate were campaign proposals that were never enacted in this form. The one piece that briefly became law was the Child Tax Credit expansion — $3,600 for children under 6 and $3,000 for ages 6–17, fully refundable — which the American Rescue Plan Act adopted for tax year 2021 only, then expired. Treat every figure here as illustrative.
How the calculation works
Ordinary income is taxed through progressive brackets after the standard deduction; long-term capital gains, Social Security payroll tax and the Child Tax Credit are handled separately. In plain terms:
- Income tax: both scenarios use the 2021 brackets up to $400,000 of taxable income. The proposal replaces the 35%/37% top brackets with a single 39.6% rate above $400,000.
- Social Security "donut hole": an extra 12.4% (the full employer + employee OASDI rate) on wages above $400,000. Wages between the 2020 cap of $137,700 and $400,000 stay untaxed — the "hole".
- Capital gains: when total income tops $1,000,000, long-term gains and qualified dividends jump from a 23.8% top rate (20% + 3.8% NIIT) to 43.4% (39.6% + 3.8% NIIT).
- Child Tax Credit: $2,000 per child today versus $3,600 (under 6) / $3,000 (ages 6–17) under the proposal.
netChange = extraIncomeTax + extraSSTax + extraCapGainsTax − creditIncrease
A positive net change means the household pays more; a negative one — common for families with children and income under the thresholds — means it pays less. Related tools: Capital Gains Tax Calculator and the Self-Employment Tax Calculator.
Current law vs the Biden proposal at a glance
| Provision | 2021 current law | Biden 2020 proposal |
|---|---|---|
| Top marginal income-tax rate | 37% (above ~$523,600 single) | 39.6% (above $400,000) |
| Social Security payroll tax | 12.4% up to $137,700 (2020 cap) | +12.4% on wages above $400,000 |
| Long-term capital gains (top) | 20% + 3.8% NIIT = 23.8% | 39.6% + 3.8% NIIT = 43.4% above $1M income |
| Child Tax Credit, ages 6–17 | $2,000 per child | $3,000 per child (refundable) |
| Child Tax Credit, under 6 | $2,000 per child | $3,600 per child (refundable) |
Worked example
A single filer with $500,000 of ordinary income, all of it Social-Security-taxable wages, and no capital gains or children — the calculator's default. These figures are generated by the same engine that powers the tool, so they can never drift from it.
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Taxable income (AGI − $12,550 standard deduction) | $487,450 |
| Current-law federal income tax | $145,151.75 |
| Federal income tax under Biden’s plan | $149,174.45 |
| Extra income tax (39.6% above $400k) | $4,022.70 |
| Extra Social Security payroll tax (12.4% above $400k) | $12,400.00 |
| Extra capital-gains tax | $0.00 |
| Increase in Child Tax Credit | $0.00 |
| Net change in federal tax | $16,422.70 |
The bulk of the increase here is the $12,400 donut-hole payroll tax (12.4% of the $100,000 of wages above $400,000); the income-tax rate change adds only about $4,000 because just $87,450 of taxable income sits in the new 39.6% band.
Not every household comes out behind, though. A married couple filing jointly with $90,000 of income, one child under 6 and one aged 6-17 — well under every tax-increase threshold — sees no change to income, payroll or capital-gains tax at all. The only provision that touches this household is the bigger Child Tax Credit, run through the same engine below.
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Taxable income (AGI − $25,100 standard deduction) | $64,900 |
| Federal income tax (unchanged — well under $400k) | $7,390.00 |
| Extra income, payroll & capital-gains tax | $0.00 |
| Increase in Child Tax Credit (1 child under 6, 1 aged 6–17) | $2,600.00 |
| Net change in federal tax | -$2,600.00 |
Assumptions and limitations
- Models the 2020 campaign proposal exactly as analyzed by the Tax Foundation and CRFB — not enacted law.
- Assumes the standard deduction (no itemizing) and 2021 brackets, deductions and wage caps.
- Ordinary AGI excludes long-term capital gains and qualified dividends, which are entered separately.
- The Child Tax Credit is a flat per-child dollar amount with no phase-outs or refundability caps.
- Ignores the AMT, state and local taxes, the Additional Medicare Tax, the QBI phase-out, the proposed Earned Income Tax Credit expansion for childless workers 65+, and the Child & Dependent Care Credit; the current-law capital-gains rate is simplified to a flat 23.8% above $1M of total income.
- Only individual-side provisions are modeled — the proposed corporate-rate increase does not enter a household result.
Frequently asked questions
What is Joe Biden's 2020 tax plan, and did it become law?+
Biden's 2020 campaign tax plan was a set of proposals — not enacted legislation — analyzed by groups like the Tax Foundation and the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Most of its individual-side provisions modeled here (the 39.6% top rate, the Social Security 'donut hole' payroll tax, and the 43.4% top capital-gains rate) were never passed into law. Only the Child Tax Credit and Child & Dependent Care Credit expansions were later enacted, separately and temporarily, for tax year 2021 only, through the American Rescue Plan Act.
How does this calculator estimate my taxes under Biden's plan?+
It computes your federal income tax two ways — once under the actual 2021 current-law brackets, and once under Biden's proposed schedule (which keeps the 2021 brackets up to $400,000 of taxable income, then applies a 39.6% top rate above that) — plus the proposed Social Security payroll tax change, capital-gains change, and Child Tax Credit expansion. It then reports the net difference between the two scenarios.
What is the Social Security 'donut hole' tax in Biden's plan?+
Under current law, only wages up to the Social Security wage base ($137,700 in 2020) are subject to the 12.4% OASDI payroll tax. Biden's plan proposed resuming that 12.4% tax on wages above $400,000, while leaving wages between $137,700 and $400,000 untaxed — hence the 'donut hole' nickname for the untaxed gap in between.
How would the top income tax rate change under Biden's plan?+
The top marginal rate would rise from 37% (current law) to 39.6% (the pre-2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act level), and the threshold where that top rate begins would drop to $400,000 of taxable income, versus roughly $523,600 (single) or $628,300 (married filing jointly) under current law.
How would capital gains taxes change for high earners?+
For taxpayers with total income above $1,000,000, Biden's plan proposed taxing long-term capital gains and qualified dividends as ordinary income at 39.6%, plus the existing 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax, for a combined 43.4% — versus the current-law top preferential rate of 20% plus 3.8% NIIT (23.8%). Below the $1,000,000 threshold, current-law preferential rates would continue to apply.
How much bigger would the Child Tax Credit be under Biden's plan?+
The plan proposed raising the Child Tax Credit from $2,000 per child under 17 (current law) to $3,000 per child aged 6-17, plus a $600 bonus for children under 6 (so $3,600 total for the youngest kids) — and making the full credit refundable. This calculator estimates the dollar increase from adding up your children in each age band.
Who would actually be affected by these proposed tax changes?+
The income-tax rate increase, the Social Security donut-hole tax, and the capital-gains rate change were all targeted at households above the $400,000 (income tax, payroll tax) or $1,000,000 (capital gains) thresholds. Most households below those levels would see no change from the income and payroll-tax provisions, though families with children could still see their Child Tax Credit change regardless of income.
Does this calculator reflect current 2026 tax law?+
No. This tool intentionally freezes 2020/2021-era constants to model a specific historical campaign proposal against its contemporaneous baseline. For your actual current-year federal tax liability, use TheCalculatorHive's Federal Income Tax Calculator, which is updated to the current tax year's IRS brackets.
What assumptions does this calculator make that I should know about?+
It assumes the standard deduction (no itemizing), treats the Social Security tax as the full 12.4% employer-plus-employee rate, applies a flat top capital-gains rate above $1,000,000 of total income, and models the Child Tax Credit as a simple flat per-child dollar amount with no phase-outs. It does not model the Alternative Minimum Tax, state taxes, the Qualified Business Income deduction phase-out, or the Child & Dependent Care Credit expansion.
How accurate is this estimate compared to a real tax return?+
It's a simplified, illustrative model built to compare two policy scenarios at a household level using publicly documented proposal details — not a substitute for tax software or a tax professional. Real returns involve additional credits, phase-outs, and filing-specific rules this calculator does not capture.
Is this the same as the American Rescue Plan's 2021 Child Tax Credit?+
The dollar amounts are the same ($3,600 under 6, $3,000 for ages 6-17, fully refundable) because the American Rescue Plan Act adopted Biden's campaign-proposed Child Tax Credit figures for tax year 2021 only. However, that expansion later expired, reverting to the pre-2021 $2,000-per-child credit — this calculator's other provisions (top rate, Social Security tax, capital gains) were never enacted at all.
What filing statuses does this calculator support?+
Single, Married Filing Jointly, and Head of Household, each using its own 2021 IRS bracket schedule and standard deduction. Married Filing Separately is not modeled in this version.
Did Biden's plan also propose expanding the Earned Income Tax Credit?+
Yes — separately from the provisions modeled here, the plan proposed raising the Earned Income Tax Credit for childless workers aged 65 and older, per the Tax Foundation's breakdown of the proposal. This calculator doesn't model that change; it's limited to the income-tax rate, Social Security payroll tax, capital-gains, and Child Tax Credit provisions listed above.
Disclaimer
Sources
- Tax Foundation — Details and Analysis of President-Elect Joe Biden's Tax Plan (2020)
- Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget — Understanding Joe Biden's 2020 Tax Plan
- Tax Foundation — 2021 Tax Brackets
- IRS Tax Topic 751 — Social Security and Medicare Withholding Rates
Formula and data last reviewed by the TheCalculatorHive team on 11 July 2026. Figures are for general information, not professional advice.
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